Publications

Bai. H., B. Li, A. Mehra, J. Meixner, S. Moorthi, S. Ray, L. Stefanova, J. Wang, J. Wang, D. Worthen, F. Yang, and C. Stan, 2023: The impact of tropical SST biases on the S2S precipitation forecast skill over the Contiguous United States in the UFS global coupled model. Weather and Forecasting. [link]

Ray., S., L. Stefanova, B. Fu, H. Guan, J. Wang, J. Meixner, A. Mehra, and Y. Zhu, 2023: Improved forecast of 2015/16 El Niño event in an experimental coupled seasonal ensemble forecasting system. Climate Dynamics. [link]

Ray, S., N. Bond, S. A. Siedlecki, and A.J. Hermann, 2022: Influence of winter-prior conditions on summer subsurface temperatures in the Northern California Current. JGR-Oceans, 127, e2022JC018577. [link]

Stefanova, L., J. Meixner, J. Wang, S. Ray, A. Mehra, M. Barlage, L. Bengtsson, P. S. Bhattacharjee, R. Bleck, A. Chawla, B. Green, J. Han, W. Li, X. Li, R. Montuoro, S. Moorthi, C. Stan, S. Sun, D. Worthen, F. Yang, W. Zheng, 2022: Description and Results from UFS Coupled Prototypes for Future Global, Ensemble and Seasonal Forecasts at NCEP. Office note (National Centers for Environmental Prediction (U.S.)) ; 510. [link]

Ray, S., L. Stefanova, J. Wang, J. Meixner, and A. Mehra, 2022: Effect of Higher Resolution and Advanced Atmospheric Physics Package on Week 3&4 Equatorial Thermocline Forecasts. Research activities in Earth system modelling. Working Group on Numerical Experimentation. Report No. 52. WCRP Report No.4/2022. WMO, Geneva. [link]

Ray, S., S. A. Siedlecki, M.A. Alexander, N. Bond, and A.J. Hermann, 2020: Drivers of subsurface temperature variability in the Northern California Current. JGR-Oceans, 125, e2020JC016227. [link]

Jacox, M.J., M.A. Alexander, S. Siedlecki, K.Chen, Y-O Kwon, S. Brodie, I. Ortiz, D. Tommasi, M.J.Widlansky, D. Barrie, A. Capotondi, W. Chang, E. DiLorenzo, C. Edwards, J. Fiechter, P.Fratantoni, E. L. Hazen, A. J. Hermann, A. Kumar, A. J. Miller, D. Pirhalla, M.P.Buil, S.Ray, S. C.Sheridan, A. Subramanian, P. Thompson, L. Thorne, H. Annamalai, S.J.Bograd, R.B. Griffis, H. Kim, A. Mariotti, M. Merrifield, R. Rykackewski: Seasonal-to-interannual prediction of US coastal marine ecosystems: Forecast methods, mechanisms of predictability, and priority developments, 2020. Progress in Oceanography. 183, 102307 [link]

Ray, S., A.T. Wittenberg, S. M. Griffies, and F. Zeng, 2018: Understanding equatorial Pacific cold tongue heat budget, Part I: Diagnostic framework.  J. Climate. 31 (24), 9965-9985. [link]

Ray, S., A.T. Wittenberg, S. M. Griffies, and F. Zeng, 2018: Understanding equatorial Pacific cold tongue heat budget, Part II: Evaluation of the GFDL-FLOR coupled GCM.  J. Climate. 31(24), 9987-10011. [link]

Wittenberg, A. T., G. A. Vecchi, T. L. Delworth, A. Rosati, W. G. Anderson, W. F. Cooke, S. Underwood, F. Zeng , S. M. Griffies, and S. Ray, 2018: Improved simulations of tropical Pacific annual-mean climate in the GFDL FLOR and HiFLOR coupled GCMs. J. Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 10(12), 3176-3220. [link]

Douglas, D. H., R.S. Knox, S. Curtis, B. S. Giese, and S. Ray, 2017: Historical Phase locked El Niño episodes. Atmospheric and Climate Sciences, 7, 48-64. [link]

Mignot J., J. Garcia-Serrano, D. Swingedouw, A. Germe, S. Nguyen, P. Ortega, E. Guilyardi, and S. Ray, 2016: Decadal prediction skill in the ocean with surface nudging in the IPSL-CM5A-LR climate model. Climate Dynamics. 47(3-4), 1225-1246. [link]

Ray, S., D. Swingeduow, J. Mignot, E. Guilyardi, 2015: Effect of surface restoring on subsurface variability in a climate model during 1949-2005. Climate Dynamics. 44: 2333-2349. [link]

Ray, S., and B. Giese, 2012: Historical changes in El Niño and La Niña characteristics in an ocean reanalysis. J. Geophys. Res., 117, C11007. [link]

Giese, B., and S. Ray, 2011: El Niño variability in simple ocean data assimilation (SODA), 1871-2008. J. Geophys. Res., 116, C02024. [link]

Giese, B., G. Compo, N. Slowey, P. Sardeshmukh, J. Carton, S. Ray and J. Whitaker, 2010: The 1918/19 El Niño , Bull. Amer.Met.Soc. 91, 2 177-183. [link]

Kumar, R., S. Bhowmick, S. Ray, V. Bhatt, S. Surendran, S. Basu, A.Sarkar, V. K. Agarwal, 2008: Improvement in predictability of waves over the Indian Ocean. Natural Hazards. doi 10.1007/s11069-008-9310-y. [link]

Ray, S., R. Kumar and A. Sarkar, 2006: Study of the impact of southern ocean swell using wave model. Proc. of SPIE Vol.6404 64040C-1, doi:10.1117/12.693962.